The Shiv Sena has decided to wait till December 30th, the last day set for Demonetised currency to be returned, to see the impact of currency ban post that and then decide about the pre poll alliance with BJP for the upcoming BMC Elections 2017.
A key Shiv Sena leader hinted that the Sena may not be favourable to an alliance if demonetisation turns out to be a “political disaster”. “Why should we take the blame for something we did not do? If currency ban proves to be a disaster, then let the BJP take the blame,” said the Sena leader.
The Shiv Sena and the
BJP have a host of others issues at stake in the civic polls, apart from the Demonetisation issue. So far, Uddhav Thackeray and chief minister Devendra Fadnavis have refused to take a position on a pre-poll alliance, but this hasn’t stopped other leaders from hitting out at each other.
“Our sense is that the impact of the currency ban would be felt for some time even after 30 December. The large-scale public inconvenience won’t just go away after this deadline gets over. We will see the situation then and take a decision about the alliance,” said the senior Sena leader quoted above. He said the rationale behind this “wait and watch” strategy was to measure the “popularity and public perception” of demonetisation—and of Modi himself.
“It is very difficult to make estimates at this stage. In the first round of municipal polls, the BJP has done well but other parties including Congress and
NCP have not done so badly that we can infer that their opposition to demonetisation backfired. So the political impact of currency ban is still a matter of speculation,” said this Sena leader.
Infact, even the BJP seems not sure about demonetisation electoral advantages /disadvantages atleast in the polls. “Mumbai polls are likely in February 2017 and it is difficult to predict what the political impact of the currency ban will be like around that time. Much of it depends on the currency situation and how we politically manage the impact,” said a BJP leader.