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BJP to easily win 90 seats as per their internal survey
- by Webdesk
- 16 Nov 2016
According to BJP’s own internal survey, the ruling state party is likely to win a minimum of 90 electoral wards out of 227 up for grabs for the upcoming BMC Elections 2017, if the party decides to go solo.
As per the survey which was accessed by Mumbai Mirror, The 227 wards were divided into 3 categories i.e. A, B and C. There are nearly 125 wards in A category – where the chances of winning are very high. It says the BJP can easily win 90 seats in these areas as the north Indian and Gujarati-Marwadi-Jain voters, who mostly support the party, constitute 28 per cent and 23 per cent of the population respectively.
The seats in C category wards are where the party prospects are very very dim. For instance, 21 wards with high percentage of Muslim population or nearly 50 seats in traditional Marathispeaking pockets like Dadar, Parel, Lalbaug, Girgaon among others where Sena is a dominant force, said a party leader who was closely associated with survey process.
However, the main crucial seats are the B category ones wherein the party can register a win only with the help of right candidates and thereby up its tally.
According to the leader, there is intense competition among party workers this time for securing tickets. “The only criteria will be internal surveys. The person securing most points will be our candidate and the sample size is also going to be nearly 2.5 lakh in each assembly constituency.”
The most important criteria will be if a ticket aspirant has managed to take either central or state government’s scheme to people, the senior leader added.
Party insiders believe that the BJP have the best chance to come to power only if they go solo in the BMC Polls. They believe an alliance with Sena will cost them north Indian voters, who despise the local party.
Similarly, the party believes, Gujarati, Marwari and Jain voters won’t be enthused if it decides to continue with Sena and might abstain from voting. During 2012 civic elections, only 9 lakh out of 19 lakh voters from these groups cast their ballot.
“In the case of north Indian voters, we are not treating them as one monolithic block but taking care of caste and sub-regional affinities as well,” said a senior BJP leader. Elaborating on his point, he said, “The party organised Chatt Pooja in a big manner and even the chief minister attended it. While this event tried to encompass all north Indians, the party organised Govardhan Pooja keeping in mind the Yadav community living in Mumbai.”
State BJP chief spokesman Madhav Bhandari said, “There is no doubt the general atmosphere is in our favour and various surveys are indicating that reality, but I will not like to comment on the specifics of the survey and their findings as they are for our internal consumption.”
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This article is based on publicly available information from credible sources (as mentioned above) and has been restructured using a combination of AI tools and manual editorial inputs to enhance clarity and readability. While we aim to maintain accuracy, there may be unintentional errors or misinterpretations. If you come across any incorrect or misleading information, please report it to us at info@bmcelections.com.
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