As per an internal survey conducted by the Shiv Sena in Mumbai, the ruling party in the Mumbai civic body is set to win 105-115 seats of the 227 up for grabs, if it goes solo.
The survey also says that both Sena and BJP stand to lose if they enter into an alliance, while MNS will be at the bottom of the heap.
The survey in the last week of December claims the party will single-handedly win majority in the
BMC without any help from the BJP. Interestingly, the survey finds, the BJP will win between 70 and 80 seats if it contests independently.
The survey has also studied the possibility of both parties contesting the poll as an alliance. “BJP wants to contest 106 of 227 seats, which leaves us with 121. It’s no wonder that the tally of both parties will come down if that happens,” a Sena leader privy to the survey said.
In case of an alliance, the survey predicts 80 to 90 seats for the Sena, while the BJP is predicted to win 50 to 60 seats.
The Raj Thackeray-led Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) is predicted to be the biggest loser in the Sena survey, with the party being restricted to single digits, along with the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP).
The Congress, which is yet to realign itself after the electoral losses in 2014, is predicted to win 30 to 40 seats if the saffron alliance breaks, and may come closer to its 2012 tally if the alliance holds.
“Contesting these elections as an alliance means a repeat of 2012, and no growth for us. The numbers will be presented to the leadership, which will take a final call on an alliance,” the Sena leader said.